Jeffrey Gundlach

Jeffrey Gundlach: In Depth-Market Outlook [CHARTS]

Jeffrey Gundlach’s DoubleLine Asset Allocation webcast slides.

Wage Gap Discontent

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: As of 12-31-2015

Jeffrey Gundlach: Wealth Distribution Gap

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: As of 12-31-2015

RHS = Right-hand side

Average Monthly Premium for Obamacare Insurance Plans

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: as of 9-30-2016

U.S. Mortgage and Rent Payments Relative to Income

Jeffrey Gundlach

RHS = Right hand side. You cannot invest directly in an index.

FaceBook, Amazon, Netflix and Google (FANG Stocks)

November 11, 2015 to November 10, 2016

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: CLSA as of October 31, 2016. FANG = Refers to a basket of stocks including Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google stocks that are equally-weighted and represent the technology sector.

DoubleLine Core Fixed Income Fund and DoubleLine Flexible Income Fund own 0% in Facebook, 0% of Amazon, 0% in Netflix and 0% of Google as of 10/31/2016. You cannot invest directly in an index.

U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. 12-m Simple Moving Average

January 1, 1987 to November 4, 2016

  • Since 1951 we have had 35 recession signals by this measure. 17 of those saw a recession within 12 months of the signal. (49% hit rate)
  • There were 10 recession during this time period. Note that sometimes there are multiple signals within 12 months of the recession.

Jeffrey Gundlach

RHS = Right hand side. SMAVG = Simple moving average.

Source: Bloomberg. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Copper

November 16, 2011 to November 15, 2016

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: Bloomberg. Copper is the world’s third most widely used metal, after iron and aluminum, and is primarily used in highly cyclical industries such as construction and industrial machinery manufacturing.

Prices are quoted by size in 25.000 lbs. increments.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

Different Measures of Core Inflation

Jeffrey Gundlach

PCE = Personal Consumption expenditure measures price changes of consumer goods and services. CPI == Consumer price index measures the average weight of a baskets of gods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care. FRB = Federal Reserve Board of Cleveland. Sticky CPI = Measures those components of the CPI that remain fairly constant: rents, medical expenses. You cannot invest directly in an index.

U.S. PriceStats CPI (YoY)

December 2, 2012 – November 11, 2016

Jeffrey Gundlach

Source: StateStreet

CPI == Consumer price index measures the average weight of a baskets of gods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care. YoY = year-over-year. You cannot invest directly in an
index.

See the full slides below.

Comments (2)

  • jeannie.sloan

    1 year ago I decided to abandon my office job and I am so happy now… I started freelancing over internet, for this company I stumbled upon online, several hours /a day, and my income now is much bigger then it was on my previous work… Check i got for last month was for Nine thousand bucks… The best thing about it is the more time i got with my family… CHILP.IT/8d93f4b

    November 16, 2016 at 6:36 am
  • wolfystrade

    Why post the fake unemployment statistics ? Trump said the real unemployment rate is 18+% Everyone knows this

    November 16, 2016 at 5:01 pm

LEAVE A COMMENT


Saved Articles
X
TextTExtLInkTextTExtLInk

The Life and Career of Charlie Munger

Charlie is more than just Warren Buffett’s friend and Berkshire Hathaway’s Vice Chairman – Buffett has actually credited him with redefining how he looks at investing. Now you can learn from Charlie firsthand via this incredible ebook and over a dozen other famous investor studies by signing up below:

  • Learn from the best and forever change your investing perspective
  • One incredible tidbit of knowledge after another in the page-turning masterpiece of a book
  • Discover the secrets to Charlie’s success and how to apply it to your investing
Never Miss A Story!
Subscribe to ValueWalk Newsletter. We respect your privacy.

Congrats! Are you a smart person?

We have an exclusive targeted & limited time offer for being a sophisticated and loyal reader.

ValueWalkPremium is a website and newsletter on the latest industry news much of which is not in the public domain and obtained via our sources.

We also have 10 years of resources on how to use this information to better your investment process.

Sign up for  today and get our exclusive content for 40% off. This is our second biggest discount ever!!

Use coupon code VIP20 or click on the button below

Limited time offer only ENDS 3/31/2020 or after the next 45 subscribers take advantage whichever comes first – please do not share this discount with others

 

0