Will Public Service Loan Forgiveness Help Borrowers?Mauldin Economics
In 2007, the Bush administration signed off on the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) program.
The idea was to give financial relief to people who had spent a lot of money on higher education, but chose to work in less financially rewarding jobs.
This included people at any level of government service, including 501(c)(3) not-for-profit organizations.
I heard about the PSLF in conversation a couple of years ago. And I genuinely thought it was a scam. Having your student loans forgiven by working in public service? It definitely sounded too good to be true.
It is true, but it is a mess.
Only Less Than 1% of People Qualify
Some 41,000 individual borrowers have attempted to take advantage of the program. Only about 200 requests were granted. That’s an approval rate of less than 1%.
Well, the requirements are pretty stringent:
- Borrowers must have Direct Loans as opposed to other types of loans.
- They have to be in a specific repayment plan, and of course, they have to work in the right type of job.
- Most importantly, borrowers must make 120 successful payments, which don’t need to be consecutive.
- And the payments have to be for the exact minimum amount, or else the loan is in “paid-ahead” status, and disqualified.
The problem is that the Department of Education did not do a great job of communicating the requirements. So there is a slew of applicants who are in the wrong types of loans or making the wrong types of payments.
It is a bit of a fiasco.
Last March, the government put a band-aid on this. They allocated some additional money for borrowers who were in a qualified public service job, but did not qualify for PSLF.
Still, many borrowers did not quality because a lot of student loans were private before 2010. And they won’t for a while.
Here Is Where Things Get Interesting
Say you make 120 (or more) payments on your student loans. And those payments are mostly interest. (Because remember, you need to pay the exact minimum amount to qualify for PSLF.)
At the end of 10 years, you would almost have paid off the entire balance of your student loans—in interest payments.
If a borrower had taken the same money and allocated the money to principal, the loans would mostly have been paid off.
I could not dream up a crueler government program if I tried.
The PSLF has incentivized tens of thousands of people to pay the minimum on their student loans in the hope that they will one day be forgiven.
Of course, after a decade of paying the minimum on your student loans, your finances are completely wrecked. And you are dependent on a bailout.
Yes, the program has noble intentions. And yes, it is unimaginably cruel.
Over time, communication will improve and more people will be able to take advantage of PSLF. But for now, borrowers don’t have much of a chance of forgiveness.
Worst of all, they financially impale themselves while they wait.
The Constraints of Debt
There is something strange about American behavior. Paying down debt is deemed one of the least psychologically rewarding things you can do.
Consumption is rewarding: You get to buy cars, jewelry, clothes.
Investing is rewarding: You get to buy stocks and watch them increase in value.
Paying down debt isn’t rewarding at all. You log in to look at your mortgage and the number is smaller—big deal.
Given this, few people aggressively pay down principal and retire the debt ahead of the maturity date.
There are a couple of different ways to look at debt.
- The Wall Street way is to look at a 4% mortgage, and ask the following question: Can I make more than 4% in the capital markets? If so, I should keep the debt and invest the free cash in stocks and bonds and earn the spread. This is not irrational. Any textbook will tell you to do this.
- A less enlightened way (my way) to look at it is as follows: Any interest you pay to a bank is unproductive and should be minimized.
In any case, to have debt is to be constrained. True freedom comes from being free of debt.
One in five Millennials expect to die without ever paying off their debt. What a horrible existence.
The PSLF paints a pretty grim picture of Americans’ attitudes towards debt. They will do absolutely anything to avoid paying it off.
A recession would certainly change people’s perspective on debt, just like the last one did. Judging from the behavior of government workers affected by the shutdown, people are pretty stretched.
At the tippy-top of the cycle, that is not very encouraging.
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