Missed Opportunity

Missed Opportunity Stems From Hasty Decision On A Stock

A few years ago, I bought a stock at 40,000 Vietnamese Dong (VND) per share (US1.71) after considering that the stock was undervalued. Then, the stock rallied to VND50,000 and dropped back to VND41,000/share. I sold all my stock at this price to protect the VND1,000/share gain! After my apparently overzealous reaction, the share price doubled over the ensuing six months.

Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

Missed Opportunity

mohamed_hassan / Pixabay

Lessons learned from a basic overreaction  

I let fear and short-term price movement drive my investment management decision. A rigorous review of the company’s fundamentals (financial modeling as just one tool to use in such a review) would have been a more reliable ground on which to base my actions. Furthermore, thorough analysis could have helped me to anticipate the near-term catalysts for the stock.

Andrew’s takeaways – Avoid these errors to become a better investor 

The investment that wasn’t 

Many stories of people’s worst investments are investments that the person didn’t make; often investments that they talked themselves out of. They saw Amazon or Walmart or Apple early but they didn’t buy. The particular mistake in the story above has to do with short-term thinking. I’m often amazed at how people are willing to take significant risks in a day or week or month, yet they rarely think about the long term. 

Your time horizon is much longer than you think 

The average 30-year-old person hopes to retire at 60, which means they have a 30-year investment horizon. But it doesn’t stop there; they also have another 20- or 30-year retirement horizon, a time during which they will need that money to grow. Create a long-term, diversified strategy; implement it. Let your investments grow, and you will be far ahead of most people. 

Mistakes in this story 

1. Failed to do their own research 

  • Relied on the assumptions of others 

3. Driven by emotion or flawed thinking 

  • Let emotions drive their investment decisions 

Article by Andrew Stotz, My Worst Investment Ever

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