Is the American Labor Market Peaking Now?

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Harrison Roger
Published on
Updated on

It’s been a good past year for the American labor market. Since March 2014, month-over-month employment growth has been above 200K every month except two. The strength poses the question – Is the American labor market peaking? Here are two arguments that suggest that it might be peaking. A Peaking American Labor Market? Year-over-Year Employment Growth The first is a look at the year-over-year growth in employment. The chart labels the previous business cycle peaks. In 1973, employment growth peaked at 4.63%. In 1978, 5.43%. In 1981, 1.96%. In 1984, 5.44%. In 1988, 3.28%. In 1995, 3.47%. In 2000, 2.55%….

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Roger is an economic adviser and active angel investor. He owns various economics firms. His work allows him a diverse group of clients across the globe, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. He holds a Ph.D. in business economics.

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