Barclays Says Merkel Likely To Remain In Power, But Watch For Surprises

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Mark Melin
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Updated on

German elections are likely to occur September, a Barclays report noted. While German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is expected to remain a collation partner, the issue is how that partnership will take place. Markets appear complacent with a Merkel victory, which Barclays says is likely, but they warn that a surprise could result in a significant market negative due to complacency. German politics becoming more fractured, with six parties for the first time since 1957 likely to end in Merkel win regardless The exact date of the German election is likely to be September 17…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.