The challenges of regression analysis Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more SUMMARY There are few alternatives to regression analysis when explaining investment performance Too few as well as too many independent variables can be problematic The results are often not intuitive, but also encourage asking further questions that may...
And the winner is… Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more SUMMARY Momentum has been the clear winner across markets in 2020 Value has been the laggard like in recent years Low Volatility ended a 10-year fantastic run INTRODUCTION We present the performance of five well-known factors on an annual basis for...
What is driving the value factor? This research note was originally published by the CFA Institute’s Enterprising Investor blog. Here is the link. Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Summary The rise of intangibles has been increasingly used as an argument for the poor performance of the value factor However, this idea is...
Measuring the Zombification of Stock Markets Around the World Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This research note was originally published by the CAIA Association’s AllAboutAlpha blog. Here is the link. Summary Zombie stocks are a diverse group, both from a country and sector perspective Zombie stocks were fundamentally riskier,...
Observing unusual but insightful cross-asset relationships Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This research note was originally published by the CAIA Association’s AllAboutAlpha blog. Here is the link. SUMMARY Carry across asset classes has not performed strongly over the most recent decade Currency carry and Value & Size equity factors exhibited the same...
Testing the effectiveness and sensitivity of linear regressions Summary Linear regression is widely used for factor exposure analysis However, a high R2 and low p-value can be misleading Unsurprisingly the data quality matters Introduction Some fields of science like math or statistics seem to be too dry to be joking about, but...
And the winner is... Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more SUMMARY Momentum & Quality are leading the performance scoreboard in Q1-3 2020 Value & Size generated negative returns, like in recent years, and Low Volatility ended a 10-year fantastic run 2020 is shaping up as a year of highly...
Or asked differently, can companies boost returns via leverage? Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This research note was originally published by ETF Stream’s Beyond Beta Magazine. Here is the link. SUMMARY The leverage of US stocks has been increasing over the last four decades The most leveraged stocks did...
The negative impact of demographics on equities Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This research note was originally published by the CFA Institute’s Enterprising Investor blog. Here is the link. SUMMARY There is a negative relationship between aging populations and stock valuations Given that most developed markets are aging, this creates structural headwinds...
Another Questionable Diversification Strategy Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This research note was originally published by the CAIA Association’s AllAboutAlpha blog. Here is the link. SUMMARY As AUM in merger arbitrage has increased, alpha decreased Investors can access merger arbitrage via hedge funds, bank indices, and ETFs The strategy is not as...
Fix the roof while the sun is shining. Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Summary Tail risk funds tend to be most in demand when they are least attractive Short-term bonds provided similar benefits to tail risk funds The TAIL ETF closely replicates the performance of tail risk funds Introduction In...
And the Winner is... Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more SUMMARY As in 2018, Low Volatility produced the best and Value the worst performance Value did not recover significantly further after a short rally in Q3 2019 However, Momentum broke its upward trajectory since then INTRODUCTION We present the performance of...
Is It Worth It? Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more SUMMARY The trends in factor performance are similar in emerging and developed markets Factor returns were higher in emerging than in developed markets However, higher transaction costs need to be considered carefully INTRODUCTION Capital markets of developed countries like the US...
Core Equity Alternatives Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more This research note was originally published by the CAIA Association’s AllAboutAlpha blog. Here is the link. SUMMARY Option-based strategies have similar characteristics to Low Volatility portfolios Combining these reduces idiosyncratic strategy risks The combinations feature higher risk-adjusted returns and lower drawdowns than the S&P...
Away with Stocks? Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc SUMMARY Investors can harvest returns from common equity factors on country level Returns are consistent when combined into a multi-factor portfolio Performance of some factors is comparable to those on single stock level, indicating common drivers INTRODUCTION Factor investing strategies like Value are...
Can Returns Seen in Research Be Achieved? Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc This research note was originally published by the CAIA Association’s AllAboutAlpha blog. Here is the link. SUMMARY The live performance of quant strategies is significantly worse than in backtesting Factor investing returns from research are frequently challenged as being overstated However,...
What have I learned so far? Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc SUMMARY There is consistency in the performance of the Value factor across markets and asset classes Allows to create a coherent framework of how to think about Value Suggests a global driver of factor performance INTRODUCTION Our research aims to...
And the Winner is... Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc Summary Most factors generated positive returns in 1H 2019 Low Volatility produced the best and Value the worst performance Factor performance is comparable in the US & Europe, but markedly different in Japan Introduction We present the performance of five well-known factors on an...
Testing Alternative Metrics to Market Capitalization Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc This research note was originally published by the CFA Institute’s Enterprising Investor blog. Here is the link. SUMMARY The performance of the Size factor in the US was positive since 1926, but not particularly attractive Returns in Europe were more favorable, but...
Takeaway versus Home-Cooked Investing Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc This research note was originally published in the Beyond Beta magazine from ETF Stream. Here is the link. Summary Single factor excess returns are attractive over the long-term, less in the short-term Comparing popular asset allocation models does not highlight one superior...
Value on Country Level Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc SUMMARY A global value portfolio on country level features structural country biases Returns were positive since 1990, but lacked consistency Value on country and single stock level exhibit the same trends, highlighting common performance drivers INTRODUCTION Holding Value stocks is emotionally challenging...
Summary The performance of the Momentum factor in the US has been poor since 2000 Fundamental valuation spreads were ineffective for improving the performance Combinations with other factors and factor volatility filters would have yielded better results Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc Introduction John H. Cochrane of the Hoover Institution...
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