The Global Fertility Crash?

I write about this once every two years or so. What got me to write this time is this article The Global Fertility Crash. The title is overly sensational, but the article is mostly anecdotal, as it interviews four relatively well-off women about their family sizes and the impact...

ETFs Just Shy Of $6 Trillion AUM Mark

ETFGI reports that assets invested in ETFs and ETPs listed Globally reached a new record high of US$5.96 trillion at the end of October 2019 Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more LONDON —November 12, 2019 — ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm covering trends in the global ETFs/ETPs...

Cliff Asness: It’s Time For A Venial Value-Timing Sin

This is only a teaser. The actual piece is somewhat lengthy, but we think an accessible and worthwhile read. Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more mohamed_hassan / Pixabay For a long while, even as value suffered, we cautioned against upping the value weight. Our reasoning was twofold: 1) timing is...

Muddy Waters is Short PeptiDream, Inc. (TYO:4587)

When wooing retail investors, Chairman Kiichi Kubota likes to compare non-standard peptide drugs to a Jaguar sports coupe (while comparing other drug types to a dump truck and motor scooter). We believe this comparison would be more relevant to PeptiDream if the Jaguar were missing its wheels. Q3 2019 hedge...

What’s the BEST managed futures program?

What’s the BEST managed futures program? That’s a tricky one. Do you mean: Best last year? Best for all time? Best risk-adjusted return? Best in terms of lowest drawdowns? Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more We can all see which programs logged the highest return last year, or has...

Ray Dalio: The World Has Gone Mad And The System Is Broken

I say these things because: Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Money is free for those who are creditworthy because the investors who are giving it to them are willing to get back less than they give. More specifically investors lending to those who are creditworthy will accept very...

Ever Looked At Quantitative Value Investing? You Should.

Ever Looked At Quantitative Value Investing? You Should.by Tim du Toit, Quant Investing Are you a classic value investor? Do you get excited the lower the share price of an undervalued good company falls? Do you love sifting through the 52-week low, lowest PE or highest dividend yield list? Something I used to...

If International Equities Outperform, Will You?

I wrote a week ago about how international equities may be finally getting the help they need to break the back of a long-term underperformance trend. It’s a trend that has caused international stocks to underperform US stocks in eight of the last eleven years. But now we have...

US Budget Deficit Spikes To $984 Billion In 2019, Up 26%

FORECASTS & TRENDS E-LETTER Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more by Gary D. Halbert October 29, 2019 IN THIS ISSUE: 1. Federal Budget Deficit Spikes to $984 Billion, Up 26% 2. Fed to Cut Rate Tomorrow, Then Pause Indefinitely 3. Another Government Shutdown Looming November 21 Overview This is one of those weeks when there is...

EAFE Equities: Can they Ever Work Again?

EAFE stocks, those in the developed Europe and Asia regions, have underperformed US stocks in eight of the last eleven years. That batting average might be decent if you are a professional baseball player, but not so much if you are a professional investor. What’s even worse is that...

Understanding Investment Consensus

Understanding the consensus in investing is important. During the middle of when an investment idea is succeeding or failing, typically the consensus is correct. At the turning points, the consensus is typically wrong. That is why it is important to try to understand what the consensus is. Q3 2019 hedge...

Risk Blackout

Dear fellow investors, Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more In financial euphoria episodes, investors become immune to the risks of capital destruction by blacking out to their normal risk aversion. Usually these episodes come from extrapolating the recent past out many years into the future. What can we learn...

On Stock Market Games For Children

All of the common board games that I have run into on the stock market are unrealistic. The stock market does not work the way the board games say that it works. Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Nietjuh / Pixabay Nonetheless, I think that board games, and other games...

IPO Lessons For Public Market Investors

This year, I have found myself returning repeatedly to the IPO well, as high profile companies have chosen to go public, and like a moth to a flame, I have been drawn to value them. There was much enthusiasm at the start of 2019 that this would be a...

Dividends *Can* Lie

Don’t get me wrong, I love dividends. I even have a money management strategy based off of them. But I know that dividends are more fickle than most of their fans admit. The infatuation that some money managers have with dividends is misplaced. To say that “Dividends don’t lie,”...

ASEAN Can Be A Safe Haven

ASEAN is mainly correlated to Asia Pacific ex Japan and Emerging markets The region has a low correlation to the US, Developed Europe, and China A-shares In addition, ASEAN is the least volatile region A good region, when you want to play defense Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences...

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