The United States is in the middle of a “Tariff War” with China and it is being played as a game. It is not a war at all… it is a skirmish within the parameters of a much longer economic war. I’ve played chess since I was a small [...]
Taxes... Wall Street’s predictions for 2019... This year’s charity donation goes to... Q3 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc Let’s start by reviewing the recent U.S. TAX CHANGES: Individual tax rates: Individual tax rates are set as: 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%… and 37% for the top 1% of Americans with [...]
Please excuse any errors. This brief “extra” blog is a rush job. Q3 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc Alexas_Fotos / Pixabay On Friday, I sent a private email to clients stating that twelve of MarketCycle’s “13 market bottom indicators” had just triggered and that I suspected that a stock market bottom [...]
How do you escape a bear? It’s simple. Bears generally live in hilly areas. A bear can out-run you if you sprint either up or down a hill in an attempt to escape it. It would be instinctive to run either up or down to get away, but you’d [...]
MarketCycle’s GOAL: To always hold the strongest globally diversified assets in client accounts; this can be done via six methods: Relative Strength Analysis (mathematically calculates the strongest assets) Following the 4 stages of the market cycle: early, middle, late and recession Determining asset positions based on the trend of interest rate movement, [...]
Well, nobody wants to hear this. A year ago I began saying that home construction was about to begin its multi-year decline (and it did) and that home prices would then begin to fall several months later (and it appears to be already in process) and that these events [...]
I recently spent a chunk of my life camping on the edge of the ocean. I was perched about 30 feet above the crashing surf, which was good since I was literally at the waters edge. Time was spent in the usual beach doings and I continued to keep [...]
The United States is still in a strong stock bull market and it is not logical to be bearish when in a bull market. Get The Timeless Reading eBook in PDF Get the entire 10-part series on Timeless Reading in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, [...]
Sometime around 2004, I remember telling a patient that real estate was forming a bubble and that it was soon to peak and then pop & deflate. This generally very nice person then sharply stated: “You’re wrong, real estate never goes down!” Later, in 2008, the market taught us otherwise [...]
