Bernstein Quants Say Trump Victory "Cuts Against Improving Inflation"

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

As the Dow Jones Industrial Average was sprinting to new record highs in the wake of the Donald Trump Presidential victory, it was a AB Bernstein quantitative report that determined the election results were “risk-off” in nature and it “cuts directly against the recent narrative of improving inflation and growth.” With central bankers pining for inflation, any sign of economic weakness cutting into this inflation and growth narrative is construed as a heightened risk amid a world of quantitative easing. Bernstein – High policy uncertainty will lead to de-risking and threaten positive signs of growth and inflation Never mind that…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.