Who Is Leading The Bond Rally? The usual Suspects, Of Course

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Mark Melin
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When the Ten Year US Treasury Note reversed course in March from near 2.62%, dropping to near 2.14% on June 6, analysts observed this with keen interest. The bond market decoupled from the stock market, the question of who was right – bond or stock market participants? More recently, when the yield dropped from near 2.42% on May 9, shedding 20 basis points, what was the cause? Sharp price adjustments over a short period of time, on a fundamental level, can indicate an un-even informational tilt to the market, where something changed investor minds. What was the mechanics? JPMorgan’s Nikolaos…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.