Not Only The Vix, (Lack of) Bond Volatility Could Lead To A Shock: HSBC

Low bond volatility is sending a message, Lawrence Dyer observes with a degree of wariness. In a May 30 HSBC US Rates research note, Dyer draws a correlation to causation between volatility and interest rate moves that has been drawn in other markets. He says the strange quiet in bond markets will result in a dramatic move. But it’s not the stock market to which he refers. His technical outlook on the world of rate hikes comes as mostly fundamentally-driven Fed watchers attempt to handicap the central bank’s rate hike schedule and the related balance sheet impact that could be…