Watch Chinese Central Bank Actions, Not Talk

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

The Chinese often operate in nuanced ways. Their central bank policies for influencing interest rates, for example, often use methods to influence interest rates that are not as clear as those used in the developed world. Last week’s People’s Bank of China (PBOC) rate hike, which has not resulted in tighter monetary conditions, is but one example. “Investors should be cautious about interpreting interest rate changes in China using the same framework they apply to central bank actions elsewhere,” Capital Economics noted in a December 21 report. [timeless] PBOC doesn’t use REPO rate as quantitative measures target goals The PBOC…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.