Goldman Says Commodity Rally Is Head Fake, Recommends Selling

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

Commodity rally real or no deal? Commodity markets are suffering from a case of premature firing long, the result of uncontrolled excitement. The recent surge in commodity prices is unsustainable, a Goldman Sachs commodity research piece says, as market views on reflation, realignment and re-leveraging need to happen simultaneously in concert with their partner the market, not independently. In other words, the market is getting ahead of reality, the report said. Commodity rally – Is this oil price rise a head fake similar to spring 2015? Energy needs lower prices to maintain financial stress to finish the rebalancing process, Goldman Commodity…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.