Commodity Supercycle Could Be Over Says Deutsche Bank

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Mark Melin
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The ten year-old commodity supercycle, triggered by rising demand in booming emerging markets, “has come to a clear and abrupt end” as the price of oil has been halved, a report from Deutsche Banks says.  While other commodities have been heading south for some time, it is the fall in the price of oil, however, that appears to be sealing a sea change in thought regarding the end of the commodity supercycle. Commodity supercycle: Commodity Price Indices reached their lowest levels since 2010 The report from Josef Auer and Lorenz Vignold-Majal, notes that the Commodity Price Indices compiled by Germany’s Hamburg…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.

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