With Market Approaching All-Time Highs, JPMorgan Says CTAs / Short Squeeze Can Push Stocks Higher

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

Coming off a string of predicting the risk parity and volatility targeting would lead to further selling in August, JPMorgan notes October’s rapid rise price was due in part to managed futures CTA capitulation. While all four segments of the fund community are generally exposed to long equity positions, the stock market could be further propelled by a large derivatives net short position that could unwind with further price action to the upside. Considering the past history of the bank’s derivatives analysis, the October 30 note points to one last gasp of oxygen left for stock market bulls. JPMorgan’s history…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.