The $5 Trillion Emerging Market Debt Issue

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

There is a $5 trillion issue on emerging market debt, a Goldman Sachs report notes, as it points to a currency mismatch, but don’t worry… yet. Emerging market debt appears large, but don’t get concerned Emerging markets have collectively accumulated roughly $5 trillion of external debt, with $1.3 trillion occurring in China alone. On the surface, the figures “appear remarkably large,” but such concerns are tempered by two factors: (1) when scaled by GDP, they are not meaningfully above their long-term averages for most countries, and (2) most EMs still have sizeable reserves that could be deployed to help cushion…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.