E&P Activity At A High, E&P Efficiency Slows

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The new pipeline capacity will cause WTI to rise as shipping costs are lowered materially.

Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

Davidson submits:

E&P Activity at a high, E&P Efficiency stalls a little. The data for these indices have a 2mo lag. Key to this data is the recent stall in US Crude Production which had recently fallen from 12.3mil BBL/Day to 12mil BBL/Day which recovered the last 2wks. Couple this to the news that pipeline capacity was being rushed to come on line in July 2019 and labor demand remained high and the trends make sense.

Key observations:

1) Limited takeaway capacity stalled field production and raised demand for labor to finish pipelines causing overall Activity to rise while stalled production resulted in a dip in Efficiency

2) Two pipelines just came into operation for the Permian which has dominated much of the employment/drilling/production data-Activity/Efficiency indices should continue to rise.

EPIC Midstream ships first crude on new Permian pipeline to Gulf Coast

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-epiccrude-pipeline-startup-exclusive/epic-midstream-ships-first-crude-on-new-permian-pipeline-to-gulf-coast-idUSKCN1V527Q

E&P Activity

E&P Activity

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.