San Francisco Fed Says Stock P/E Ratios Could Be Cut In Half

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Mark Melin
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Updated on

The statement coming from the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of San Francisco might come as a shock to stock market perma-bulls, but certain hedge fund players won’t be surprised, as it’s all part of a mathematical modeling of where this economy could be heading. Updating their previous economic projections, the central bank researchers are nearly cutting in half the forward looking price / earnings ratio projections on stocks based on key U.S. demographic shifts. “The retirement of the baby boomers is expected to severely cut U.S. stock values in the near future,” economic research from the San Francisco Fed proclaimed.  The…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.

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