Fundamental Trends Change Before They Become Headlines

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“Davidson” submits:

Fundamental trends change several years before they become headlines. Oil exports began with refined products in 2006(US Oil Situation chart) and have continued to rise at ~13% annual pace since. We actually became a net exporter of Refined Products Sept 2011.

[timeless]

Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

Markets are not geographically uniform. Some parts of the country are better for refineries which is where all exports arise while others like NYC, San Francisco are net importers of Refined Products because it is simply the lowest cost solution. No one spells this out. One has to look at data and look through to the sources and think carefully what it means before jumping to conclusions.

The Oil Export Boom

Houston-Galveston exports exceed imports for the first time. https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-oil-export-boom-1535670283

Fundamental Trends

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.

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