Goodbye, Growth Scare; Hello, Growth Spurt! – The Bull & Bear Case

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Goodbye, Growth Scare; Hello, Growth Spurt! – The Bull & Bear Case by Evergreen Gavekal “We really can’t forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can, but we really can’t.” – Alan Greenspan Summary Bullish Summary The latest growth scare is over, and the US economy is set to accelerate. The risks that drove the latest panic in global markets (US growth, oil oversupply, and a Chinese currency devaluation) were overblown and have begun to recede. Credit spreads (the gap between what corporate and government bonds yield) peaked in February and have narrowed considerably in recent weeks….

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