Gambling Web Site Gives Odds On Greece Default, Grexit

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

The gamblers watching the Greek election have spoken, and they see the potential for a Grexit. The odds of Greece leaving the Euro currency is 4 to 1, according to gambling web site Paddy Power. The betting web site thinks Greece leaving the Euro before 2018 is the most likely of all results it is handicapping. The betting site says the odds are 7 to 1 that the European Commission confirms that Greece has ‘defaulted’ on debt in 2015, assumedly debt default as determined by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA). ISDA declared the government of Argentina in default…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.