During his recent interview with Julia La Roche, Guy Spier explained how Warren Buffett’s instincts keep him out of trouble. Here’s an excerpt from the interview:
Spier: It was a question at this year’s Berkshire meeting where somebody asked, apparently Berkshire Hathaway got to owning about four or five billion dollars worth of Taiwan semiconductor. Which is not an insubstantial position even for Berkshire Hathaway.
And he sold out within three or four months. And I actually, when I saw that I thought that it was either Ted Wexler or Todd Combs.
And if I understood the way he answered the question that was very much Warren Buffett. And it seems he didn’t get into it… that he focused a little bit more on potential risks with China and decided that maybe he didn’t want a company with a huge number of assets based in Taiwan.
But at the same time it seems like he’s increased his bets, bets I don’t like calling them bets, his investments in businesses in Japan.
And so he’s looking for things that are very very far out on the horizon and he just doesn’t want to be there and he does that time and again.
You can watch the entire discussion here:
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The Acquirer’s Multiple® is the valuation ratio used to find attractive takeover candidates.
It examines several financial statement items that other multiples like the price-to-earnings ratio do not, including debt, preferred stock, and minority interests; and interest, tax, depreciation, amortization.
The Acquirer’s Multiple® is calculated as follows:
Enterprise Value / Operating Earnings*
It is based on the investment strategy described in the book Deep Value: Why Activist Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations, written by Tobias Carlisle, founder of acquirersmultiple.com.
The Acquirer’s Multiple® differs from The Magic Formula® Earnings Yield because The Acquirer’s Multiple® uses operating earnings in place of EBIT.
Operating earnings is constructed from the top of the income statement down, where EBIT is constructed from the bottom up. Calculating operating earnings from the top down standardizes the metric, making a comparison across companies, industries and sectors possible, and, by excluding special items–earnings that a company does not expect to recur in future years–ensures that these earnings are related only to operations.
Similarly, The Acquirer’s Multiple® differs from the ordinary enterprise multiple because it uses operating earnings in place of EBITDA, which is also constructed from the bottom up.
Tobias Carlisle is also the Chief Investment Officer of Carbon Beach Asset Management LLC.
He's best known as the author of the well regarded Deep Value website Greenbackd, the book Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014, Wiley Finance), and Quantitative Value: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012, Wiley Finance). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public company corporate governance, and corporate law.
Articles written for Seeking Alpha are provided by the team of analysts at acquirersmultiple.com, home of The Acquirer's Multiple Deep Value Stock Screener.
All metrics use trailing twelve month or most recent quarter data.
* The screener uses the CRSP/Compustat merged database “OIADP” line item defined as “Operating Income After Depreciation.”
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