No Minsky Moment As Home Capital Group Teeters: Deutsche Bank

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Mark Melin
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Canada’s red-hot real estate and mortgage market is a place where a minority of unqualified home buyers get loans from unregulated firms. This occurs amid “mortgage fraud (that) has been on a rapid increase indicating how stretched many would-be buyers are,” a Deutsche Bank report notes. This description of a market surrounding the recent bailout of a mortgage lender, Home Capital Group, leads the bank analysts to ask: Is this Canada’s Minsky moment? In Canada’s hot mortgage market, borrowers can select their lender’s regulatory scheme A Minsky moment technically occurs when a sudden collapse of asset values follows a debt-fueled…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.

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