IMF Considering London Agreement As Greece's Template As No Vote Expected

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

With a weekend vote in Greece potentially triggering a derivatives default, one that banks and Larry Summers have indicated they are prepared for (“foam is on the runway,” Summers said last week), what are the variables to consider in both the long and short term? The weekend vote comes as the IMF released a scathing report this morning, pointing out that Greece will likely need 50 billion euro bailout over three years. But the kicker is the IMF mentioned the previously unmentionable: Greece debt may need a haircut, reducing payments to investors who purchased Greek sovereign debt. Such investors made…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.