Mortgage Credit About To Surge?

HFA Padded
valueplays
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This bears really close watching. Mortgage credit, or lack thereof has been a drag on this economy. Housing starts are still nowhere near where they need to be and Dodd/Frank is the culprit. Should these regs be relaxed to even reasonable standards, we would likely see a surge in home construction which would be a major tailwind to an already strong economy.

Q3 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

“Davidson” submits:

MCAI higher after a pause-requires close monitoring and checking if this is connected to change in FDIC small/regional bank lending regs. The recent pause has resulted in sharp corrections to housing, rec vehicle and building product issues. But, strong employment and personal income trends suggest more demand going forward IF the FDIC relaxes Dodd Frank onerous lending standards for new homeowners which have kept single-family starts at ~1/2 the historical level prior to the Sub-Prime Crisis.

I am watching for opportunity in this space. I already hold THO, LCII and BECN which have been well operated for years and now looking to add to these positions if the current administration’s policy shift justifies such action.

Mortgage Credit

Mortgage Credit

HFA Padded

Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.