Nine Charts Summarizing The 96-Year Capital Markets History – ValueWalk Premium
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Nine Charts Summarizing The 96-Year Capital Markets History

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Q4 2021 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Last year was a good year for stocks, but not bonds. The post-2008 recovery has been spectacular, one of the best 13-year U.S. stock markets. I provide details for the entire 96 years as well as five-year and 10-year sub-periods

Here are investment performance highlights for 2021 and the 96 years 1926-2021:

  1. Most asset classes earned positive returns in 2021. Real estate and commodities led with 41% returns. Bonds and gold lost value in the year.
  2. Target-date funds with long horizons and moderate risk earned double-digit returns in 2021, as they did in 2020.
  3. Stocks, as measured by the S&P 500, returned 29% in 2021, triple their 96-year average of 10%. Bonds lost 2% based on the U.S. Investment Grade (Bloomberg) Aggregate index, well below the 96-year average of 6%.
  4. The 2021 stock return was above median and the 2021 bond return was below median.
  5. The recovery from the 2008 stock market crash has been sensational. Stocks have soared 600% in the past 13 years, one of the best 13-year periods.
  6. Target-date funds started in 2008 and have grown to $3 trillion. Conservative TDFs have earned 8% per year over their 14-year history while aggressive TDFs have earned 9.5%. TDFs are excellent benchmarks for multi-asset portfolios.
  7. Details are provided in a table.
  8. There’s never been a worse time to retire.

1. Most asset classes earned positive returns in 2021. Real estate and commodities led with 41% returns. Bonds and gold lost value in the year.

2. Target-date funds with long horizons and moderate risk earned double-digit returns in 2021, as they did in 2020.

3. Stocks, measured by the S&P 500, returned 29% in 2021, triple their 96-year average of 10%. Bonds lost 2% based on the U.S. Investment Grade (Bloomberg) Aggregate index, well below their 96-year average of 6%.

Read the full article here by Ron Surz, Advisor Perspectives


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