Oil Demand Picture Slightly Stronger In China As Supply Showing Signs Of Tightening

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Mark Melin
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Oil demand and supply functions are at work supporting the front end pricing, but will it last? The front end of the Brent oil futures curve will not likely result in sustained backwardation, a Barclay’s commodity report notes, as oil is seeing not only supply weakening but also demand, in large part from China, providing occasional energy to support prices. Also see Andy Hall: Oil Prices Could Be Headed To $80 In Next 12 Months Various “unplanned outages” are tightening oil supply as futures pricing curve inverts in and out of normalization In regards to oil supply, the “likelihood of unplanned…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.