Philip Tetlock – Edge Master Class 2015: A Short Course In Superforecasting [Class V]

Philip Tetlock – Edge Master Class 2015: A Short Course In Superforecasting [Class V] by John Brockman,Russell Weinberger and Nina Stegeman, Edge.org Condensing it All Into Four Big Problems and a Killer App Solution With Philip Tetlock [9.22.15]   Edge Master Class 2015 with Philip Tetlock — A Short Course in Superforecasting — | Class 1 | Class 2 | Class 3 | Class 4 | Class 5 |   Philip Tetlock:  If you turn to session six, slide 117-118, you’re going to see a little piece on the seductive power of scenarios. Imagine you’ve got one of these between subjects designs in which half of the people read…