Philip Tetlock With Jason Zweig- The Perilous Task Of Forecasting

Philip Tetlock – The Perilous Task Of Forecasting via The Wall Street Journal Wharton’s Philip Tetlock on how forecasters can do better To get business right, finance chiefs need to be good forecasters. Yet research has shown that amateurs can actually be better than experts at predicting the future. Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal’s investing columnist, sat down with Philip Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School and the co-author of “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction,” to explore why that is and what companies can learn from it. Edited excerpts follow. Vague verbiage Jason Zweig:…