Prem Watsa: Shorting Cost Us $2 Billion And Why Value Investing Is So Tough

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The Acquirer's Multiple
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We’ve just been reading through the latest Fairfax Financial Annual Report 2018 in which Prem Watsa discusses his failed attempt to short indices (mainly the S&P500 and Russell 2000) and a few common stocks, saying:

Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

Prem Watsa

In the past, to protect our equity exposures in uncertain times, we shorted indices (mainly the S&P500 and Russell 2000) and a few common stocks. After much thought and discussion, it became clear to me that shorting is dangerous, very short term in nature and anathema to long term value investing. As I mentioned to you in last year’s annual report, shorting has cost us, cumulatively, net of our gains on common stock, approximately $2 billion! This will not be repeated! In the future, we may use options with a potential finite loss to hedge our equity exposure, but we will never again indulge anew in shorting with uncapped exposure. Your Chairman continues to learn – slowly!!

Further down in his letter Watsa demonstrates just how difficult it’s been to be a value investor over the past decade with annual returns of just 3-4%:

Prem Watsa

(Source: Faifax Financial Annual Report 2018)

You can read the entire 2018 Annual Report here: Faifax Financial Annual Report 2018.

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Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®. He is also the founder of Acquirers Funds®. The Acquirer’s Multiple® is the valuation ratio used to find attractive takeover candidates.