Goldman: Dividends Could Be Sole Contributor Of Return For The S&P 500 Over Next 12 Months

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Mark Melin
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With the S&P 500 trading at all-time highs, Goldman Sachs expects the dividend yield associated with stock investing to be the “sole contributor to total return during the next 12 months”, and “market implies dividends will account for roughly 50% of total equity return in next decade”. In other words, don’t expect much contribution from stock price appreciation based on forward looking growth projections, particularly as the price earnings multiple is touching “historic valuation” levels with “limited scope for further upward expansion.” With S&P 500 at historically stretched valuations, Goldman questions stock runway length In its May 15 US Weekly…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.