Goldman Sachs Explains “Rational Exuberance”

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Mark Melin
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Updated on

The stock market is going to rise a healthy 8% in 2018, predicts Goldman Sach’s Chief US Equity Strategist David Kostin, but the technology sector might not be the tailwind it once was. Driving the move higher will be a “rational” increase in earnings per share, driven to a degree by tax cuts, which benefit large corporations and thus help investors to a meaningful degree. But questions regarding Goldman’s forecast remain the investment bank notes in a December 8 report titled Investor response to our Rational Exuberance: 7 common questions on our 2018 outlook. [munger] How can analysts be so…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.