Bernstein Quants Say Value Stock Rally Has More Room To Run, But Watch Macro Risk

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

Bernstein’s Global Quantitative Strategy team has had two weeks of listening to depressing stories from fund managers who didn’t catch the “pro-cyclical upswing” that occurred in the wake of a surprise US election. Before the rapid change in market environment they might have been in “high quality” stocks that had been bid up to abnormally high price-earnings ratios; or perhaps they were in growth stocks that had already priced in growth for years to come; or they might have had short exposure to financials in anticipation of a depressing regulatory environment for banks. Whatever the case for missing the resulting…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.