Bond Bear Market On Hold, As DC Dysfunction And French Election Looms: DB

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Mark Melin
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The previously predicted bond bear market predicated on higher interest rates is “on hold,” a Deutsche Bank US economics report says. The analysis is now on hold is driven, in part, by unpredictability in Washington DC as well as sagging economic trend indicators and a French election that now has the prospect of populist Le Pen winning it all now within the margin of polling error. A win in Washington DC looks increasingly fleeting Looking at the potential for progress on structural tax reform in Washington DC, Deutsche Bank Research Analyst Dominic Konstam and his US-based team of Aleksander Kocic,…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.