Is China debt getting to be a larger, more unmanageable risk? Is the task of modeling risk contagion growing amid financial obfuscation? China’s reliance on credit has “deepened significantly” as the nation’s debt load is far higher than people think, a new Goldman Sachs report opined. How much credit has already been extended to Chinese households and corporates? That is difficult to determine, stated the June 6 report titled “Follow the ‘money’ in China… to measure credit,” particularly as government numbers are in question and the lack of visibility is making risk modeling difficult. Part of the problem is due to…
Goldman: China Debt Load Unknown, But Could Be Much Higher Than Thought
Mark Melin
Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.