Evercore ISI Reports a Decline in Chinese GDP, a Much Different Picture than the Official 7% GDP Growth

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Harrison Roger
Published on
Updated on

In a striking take on the Chinese economy, Evercore ISI analysts released their estimates of China GDP compared with official China GDP figures. The difference is amazing, speaking to the problems with reported, official Chinese GDP. Here’s a look at what Evercore ISI calls their China Synthetic Growth Index.  The detail behind the Index is, of course, proprietary. [dalio] Chinese GDP versus Evercore ISI Synthetic Growth Index The following graphic compares the reported China GDP figure against Evercore ISI’s Synthetic Growth Index. [drizzle]The Official China GDP Figure The pink series is reported, official China Real GDP.  The dotted pink line…

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Roger is an economic adviser and active angel investor. He owns various economics firms. His work allows him a diverse group of clients across the globe, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. He holds a Ph.D. in business economics.