Morgan Stanley: Deleveraging Going Fine But China Is A Worry

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Mark Melin
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Updated on

Global Deleveraging – Using dulcet tones, a Morgan Stanley report on global debt and deleveraging notes progress but warns against a rapid expansion of the interest rate tightening cycle. As a result, don’t expect much more than a “tepid recovery in private demand.” What to watch is the debt deleveraging relative to economic growth as well as debt to GDP ratios that could “pose financial stability risks.”   US households are pulling out of their balance sheet recession, but corporate debt grows With debt to GDP ratios continuing to climb – the US ratio is near 104%, up from 64.8%…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.