No January Effect in 2016 Says BAML

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Mark Melin
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With the stock market down significantly Monday – the S&P 500 ended down 31 points yesterday, its worst start since 2008 – and pre-market futures pointing to soft opening on Tuesday of a new year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Equity and Quant Strategy team was out with a report dated December 30 that explained why the January effect is less likely to occur in 2016, bolstering their quant thinking with fundamental logic. January effect won’t lift stocks in January, underlying fundamentally-driven ratios tell Bank of America Merrill Lynch The January effect typically lifts stock prices during the month as…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.