Jeff Gundlach Asks “The Greatest Economy Ever?!”

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Jacob Wolinsky
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Slides of DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund’s webcast titled, The Greatest Economy Ever!, hosted by Jeffrey Gundlach.

“The Greatest Economy Ever!”

World Real GDP Growth Forecast by Year

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

GDP = Gross Domestic Product is the amount of goods and services produced within a given country.
Forecasts are inherently limited, may not come to pass and cannot be relied upon for investment decisions.

Global Negative Yielding Debt: Total vs. Corporate

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Negative Yielding Debt Index is a broad based index representing global intermediate term in vestment grade bonds with negative yields. You cannot invest directly in an index..

Negative Yielding Debt

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bianco Research, Bloomberg, as of August 26, 2019

Holders of Negative Yielding Debt

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg, as of September 2019

Other: Comprised of ETFs, Mutual Funds and Asset Management & Financial Services

Gold Prices vs. Negative Yielding Bonds

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Negative Yielding Debt Index is a broad based index representing global intermediate term in vestment grade bonds with negative yields. Spot price of gold in Troy ounces. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Gold Priced in EURO Pushing All Time Highs

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Spot price of gold in Troy ounce minus the Euro/USD Exchange Rate. SMAV is the 200 day moving average.

Chinese Renminbi (USDCNY)

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Spot price of the Chinese Renminbi. SMAV is the 200 day moving average.

Germany Consumer Confidence

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Icon German Consumer Confidence tracks sentiment among households or consumers. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Germany Business Climate

Greatest Economy Ever

Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

Ifo Pan Germany Business Climate surveys 7,000 companies in three sectors: manufacturing, trade and construction . You cannot invest directly in an index.

See the full slides below.

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Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of HedgeFundAlpha (formerly ValueWalk Premium), a popular value investing and hedge fund focused intelligence service. Prior to founding the company, Jacob worked as an equity analyst focused on small caps. Jacob lives with his wife and five kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)hedgefundalpha.com FD: I do not purchase any equities to avoid conflict of interest and any insider information. I only purchase broad-based ETFs and mutual funds.