Back on 5/17/1999 Michael Burry, a self confessed value investor, wrote a post on an investing message-board called – The Silicon Investor. His post detailed his valuation on AAPL stock, which at that time traded at around $1.59. Currently the stock trades at around $218. Here’s an excerpt from that post:
[activistinvesting]
Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc
Michael Burry: It seems to me that AAPL is incredibly undervalued.
I don’t know you at all, and while I agree with the endpoint of your analysis, I don’t agree with the means with which you got there. I like AAPL because it IMO is now a bona fide value stock on an enterprise value/ratio basis, and is generating tons of cash. I see loads of opportunity, an extremely strong balance sheet, and little downside. And I see a huge contrarian play because a generation of security analysts have been trained to think that whatever is wrong with this world, AAPL is a part of it.
What the price will do in the next 12 months, I don’t know. Whether day traders will ever mature, I don’t know. Whether value will even become more important over the next year, I don’t know. I just see an absolute value in AAPL at recent prices.
I do feel the greatest margin of safety was back at 34 when no one ever thought it would move, but that there remains a margin of safety for longer-term holders.
For other tech value, I’m now a proud shareholder in Oracle at 24 3/8. 30X earnings, so you gotta understand the business. After consulting with some techie friends and family and doing some DD, I finally do. It goes in the long-term hold, Buffett-like stock for me. Pairs to my AAPL and my APCC as Buffett-like tech stock long-term holds.
OK, Jim, now you can call the end of the bull market. I’ve gone into tech.
Mike
You can read the original post here.
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