S&P 500 Response to the Pending Fed Rate Hike. Hint: It's Probably Positive.

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Harrison Roger
Published on
Updated on

Presuming Ms. Yellen and other Federal Reserve officials are telling the truth about pending rate hikes, the market will likely see a rate hike later this year, albeit likely only a minor, mostly symbolic rate hike. How will the market respond? Here’s a look at the return of the S&P 500 following the past 13 Fed rate hikes, as well as the prior 77 instances of rate hikes. [munger] Federal Funds Target Rate As background, the following graphic is the federal funds target rate from September 1982 to May 2015. In red are the rate hiking cycles (13 of them)….

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Roger is an economic adviser and active angel investor. He owns various economics firms. His work allows him a diverse group of clients across the globe, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. He holds a Ph.D. in business economics.