Strong Quarter for Transportation

HFA Padded
valueplays
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“Davidson” submits:

Q2 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Transport issues report surprisingly  strong quarters with raised guidance, FDX, XPO, GXO and KNX are current suggestions. Mfg New Orders for Motor Vehicles/Parts has ticked to all-time highs. The Trucking Tonnage Index(TTI) is in an uptrend. Vehicles and parts remain in high demand, AMOT, CPS, CWH, THO and LCII which are related to consumer demand remain current suggestions. Signs are present that professional investors have hedged more than any time in past cycles. It is worth repeating the cash vs equity allocation is at levels higher than 2008. When one adds all these pieces together, the over-the-top recession fear baked into prices is about as overdone as carbonized toast.

When this sentiment turns, it is likely to be a quick turn with equities rising sharply. Adding to existing positions is recommended.

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.