UBS Maps Challenges and Probability Paths

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Mark Melin
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Markets have entered a new world of “lower growth, low inflation along with volatile oil and turbulent equity markets,” notes recent UBS quantitative research. [munger] In a report out September 21, the firm models various risk management probability paths to consider investment approach in what for some is a challenging market environment but for others represents opportunity.     UBS views risks in the world economy: China, Oil, US dollar When quantifying the macro risks on global equity markets, the UBS Global Quantitative team creates a road map “that helps investors surf the macro wave” of market environments. As it…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.