Virtu IPO: Secret Formula Or Just Great Connections?

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

As reported in ValueWalk on February 25, high frequency trading firm Virtu on Monday filed for an initial public offering, seeking to raise $100 million.  With a star-studded list of many of the most connected people on Wall Street and in algorithmic trading behind the effort, and an unheard-of 99.9999% win percentage on its trades, does the HFT firm have a magic formula?

99.9999% win percentage with over 90% of trading days generating over $1 million per day

Virtu distribution chart

According to the S-1 form filed by the company, in 1,238 days of trading the firm only had one losing day and average with over 90% of those days generating over than $1 million in revenue.  The company has been profitable, reporting $182.2 million 2013 earnings on revenue of $623.7 million last year – while paying $433.4 million in cash distributions to its members.  In 2012 the firm had $87.6 million earnings on $581.5 million in revenues.

The question for investors is will this incredible revenue growth and winning trade ratios continue in an industry where trading strategies can become out of date as quickly as the trades are executed?

To understand this one must understand the market environment for HFT firms as well as identifying exactly what Virtu’s magic formula might be and if it is sustainable.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.