World Will Not End Over Trade Policy As “Art of the Deal” Is Just The Start

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Mark Melin
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The trade war rhetoric that intensified late in the week, perhaps cumulating with harsh criticism from the Japanese trade minister, appears to be receding on Monday morning. Many analysts took a harsh tone, with Societie Generale’s Albert Edwards saying a trade war could lead to a new “ice age.” But is this all just part of a larger plan? With conciliatory comments coming out regarding the US on trade now contrasting sharp rhetoric from President Trump last week, one question remains: Is US trade policy blowing in the wind or are we witnessing a negotiating tactic from the author of…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.