Russia To Redeploy Troops To Afghanistan – Tajikistan Border – ValueWalk Premium
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Russia To Redeploy Troops To Afghanistan – Tajikistan Border

According to Russian newspaper Kommersant, Russia is set to redeploy its military troops to Tajikistan’s border with Afghanistan following a serious deterioration in the security situation in the region ever since US President, Barack Obama declared an end to the US combat mission in the area.

Russia To Redeploy Troops To Afghanistan - Tajikistan Border

Source: Pixabay

The aforementioned newspaper claims that the idea of Russian forces arriving at the Afghanistan-Tajikistan border does not seem unlikely. Indeed, it appears that the Tajikistan government is keen on taking help from the Kremlin in a bid to get some much needed assistance around the shared border.

Quite recently, Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov expressed grave concerns regarding security threats faced by Tajikistan from the South due to the worsening security situation in Afghanistan thanks to the presence of terrorist elements and the rapid emergence of Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS).

It is being feared that the ISIS-linked jihadists will be looking to enter Tajikistan via Afghanistan and if that happens, it could create a new security headache for Russia. Reports in various media outlets have already stated that Russian President, Vladimir Putin could offer under-fire Tajikistan help during his visit to capital Dushanbe later this week.

Putin arrived in the capital of Tajikistan this Monday to attend the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) summit.

On Friday, top foreign policy aide for Kremlin, Yuri Ushakov told reporters that Putin will be having a meeting with his opposite number Imomali Rakhmon which means that security the Tajikistan-Afghanistan border with Russian help could be one of the main agendas of the meeting.

“We are ready to provide assistance one way or another, as well as political support, and I think this matter will be one of the key ones during talks,” Ushakov told reporters.

And although Ushanov was not particularly forthcoming when asked about the prospect of Russia deploying its troops in Tajikistan, the fact that Moscow already has a military base in the country means that it is only a matter of time when Russian boots will be marching around the Tajikistan-Afghanistan border.

Despite the fact that the Central Asian States gained independence following the disintegration of the USSR more than two decades ago, Russia still has a lot of influence in the region and has always made sure of an obvious present there.

Also, the fact that Kremlin is worried that the ISIS-linked violence in the Middle East could trickle down to the Central Asian region, clearly means that Moscow is in no mood to sit idly and see its neighbor’s situation keep getting worse by the hour.

Until 2005, Russian forces were providing security assistance to Tajikistan’s border with Afghanistan but afterwards, Tajik forces took over. Already 22 people have lost their lives in bloody gun battles this month which has added to fears of religious unrest in the state which is a close ally of Russia.

The reason behind the consistently worsening of situation can be traced back to December last year when President Obama declared an end to USA’s decade-long mission in Afghanistan. The fact that US troops have more or less left the region has exposed Afghanistan to a multitude of issues and as things stand, the country is struggling to keep influence against Taliban, a force that in the past few months, has grown both in numbers and confidence.

Indeed, Afghanistan has been left in a precarious position ever since US rolled back its program.

Only yesterday, Northern Afghan city of Kunduz fell to the Taliban which indeed is a chilling news considering the fact that US left the country confident that it had taken care of business in an immaculate fashion.

Back in 2001, Kunduz was the last city that was taken from Taliban’s control and was heralded as the completion of Afghanistan’s complete liberation. This recent recapture clearly demonstrates the strength of Taliban and should not be taken lightly. It also shows that the Taliban now boast the confidence and the apparatus to take on the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) who have been put to the sword to say the least ever since US boots left the ground.

“The fall of Kunduz was a failure of both national and international leadership. Unfortunately, the government in Kabul is not taking responsibility for it. I am sure it will impact the National Unity Government very deeply,” says Kabul-based political expert, Haroon Mir, in an interview with The Diplomat.

Why the sudden need for Russia's troop deployment?

For the last ten years or so, Russia had one headache less to worry about. With the US presence in Afghanistan, Russia was able to stay less focused on the Afghanistan border acting as the gateway to Central Asia since it was heavily patrolled by US troops – meaning that the chances of jihadists entering Tajikistan via Afghanistan were slim to none. That allowed Russia to focus elsewhere. However, now that the US adventure in Afghanistan is over in more ways than one, Russia will now have to heavily rely on its own troops to take care of the security situation in Tajikistan.

The Tajik forces have not been able to cope with the security crisis lately which means that Russia had no other option but to get out of its comfort zone and ensure that the potential wave of extremism in Central Asia does not affect its own volatile cities like Chechnya, Dagestan and Makhachkala.

With the growing crisis in Tajikistan, the CSTO meeting couldn’t have come at a better time. Already, the Uzbek militant element is making things complicated for all member states of CSTO and Russia clearly cannot afford any sort of security lapses in Tajikistan which have the potential to gravely affect Russia’s internal security.

With current issues such as the South China Sea, Syrian and Middle Eastern crisis and Crimean crisis more in focus, the Afghanistan issue has slipped from under the radar which has further given Taliban a lot of confidence in taking things in its own hands.

Back in 2012, international donors gathered in Tokyo and pledged $16 billion in aid over four years. Next year, the donors will gather again but it will be interesting to see if they will be looking to dig deep just like they did three years ago keeping in mind the current developments in Middle East and Asia Pacific.

John Kerry is a firm believer in the National Unity Government formed by the Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah even though he doesn’t feel the same way about the security condition in the country.

And although Afghanistan has asked neighbor Pakistan to do more in order to push back against terrorist groups, it is clear to see that Kabul should be more focused on its own security condition and try and develop more productive means to bring about stability within its borders just like Pakistan has been doing over the past few months.

All these issues have made things very complicated for Russia which is why it has become imperative for Moscow to quickly take control of the situation before the Taliban resurgence hits its shores which will be a potentially back-breaking event for Russia and its long-term goals in which Tajikistan holds an important place.

Comments (24)

  • Steven Pham

    Thanks Barak! Russia is creeping into areas that Barak Obumer is slacking and a new Cold War has started.

    September 30, 2015 at 4:52 pm
    • dshield55

      While I believe that Obama screwed the Iraqis and Afghans by leaving too early and without making sure they were prepared… why should America care that Russia has to go in and take up the slack now?

      September 30, 2015 at 4:56 pm
      • Joe

        The difference is their agenda vs. ours….
        Ours unfortunately are subject to large corporations doing business there
        Theirs is to build a unified front against us….
        We could change the former but not the latter

        September 30, 2015 at 5:24 pm
        • dshield55

          Business interests? Business interests how? After we captured/liberated Iraq from Saddam, we let the Iraqis auction off leases to the oil fields to the highest bidders. Chinese firms ended up with like 90% of the leases and oil contracts.

          September 30, 2015 at 6:31 pm
          • pure_whole_pristine

            Not before stealing US$ 50 billion Iraq’s Oil for Food paying Halliburton, Black Water, Bechtel by Military invitation-only contracts.

            October 1, 2015 at 11:13 pm
      • Tuan Pham

        I believe Joe nailed it. Regardless of whether a Democrat or a Republic runs the White House, I earnestly believe that America’s agenda is to promote peace and democracy, though these are things that people have to fight and die for. On the other hand, China’s and Russia’s agenda are those of pure exploitation, regardless of the cost of human lives and freedom. I am not naive to think that America doesn’t have our own economic agenda, but we will never let economics dictate our action and what our Founders stand for.

        I understand your concern, which I deduce that it’s an economic one. However, as we have seen what has happened in Afghanistan when the Russians left and in Iraq, failure in these countries is not an option because they are grounds that breed Islamic militants! We can’t have another 9/11 and the trillions we spend are worth saving thousands of American lives!

        September 30, 2015 at 5:46 pm

    Good let Russia baby sit these animals for awhile?

    September 30, 2015 at 5:22 pm
  • Keith

    Snicker!! Hey there Putin heroes– I recommend a full re-invasion of Afghanistan by some poorly trained and vodka swilling Putin Patriots. Afghanistan is a hopeless basket case with no good outcomes but the US has managed a short term involvement rating of a 7 with Russia achieving a 1.

    BTW IMHO– Nation building in a mud hut, whacko religious/tribal environment takes 250 years. Don’t start unless you have that long term horizon. Major ignorance and tribal/religious barriers are impossible to break.

    September 30, 2015 at 6:36 pm
    • hazel

      US has managed a short term involvement rating of a 7 with Russia achieving a 1.

      That Russian rating would have been higher without our backing the Mujahideen,
      which eventually brought the Russian bear down and the Berlin Wall. Too bad it’s
      side effects were the creation of Bin Laden, 911, and our current terrorist conflagration.

      September 30, 2015 at 8:03 pm
      • Randy

        Hazel, the US provided a limited number of weapons and the training involved how to fire some of those weapons, the Chinese spent a lot more time and money in that war than the US did . We didn’t create those terrorist we helped those who were fighting The Soviets you know the people who were putting bombs in toys just to kill Afghan children etc etc

        October 1, 2015 at 1:13 am
        • hazel

          More than that. We built schools to train them in Pakistan. Young teen killers. Left the Mujahedeen teach them their murderous Muslim tactics for a Caliphate. Paid for their textbooks. We didn’t care as long as they fought The Soviets well. Paid for their training through Pakistan. We actually enabled them to become more powerful than they were. And Bin Laden came back to bite us because we would not leave Saudi Arabia.

          October 1, 2015 at 1:36 pm
          • sraysr

            It won’t take much to turn the Pakistani and Afghanistan Taliban on Russia again.
            With ISIS being lead by Chechen Muslims, Russia is going to be in deep Muslim S**t very soon.
            Russia is a financial basket case right now because of its invasion of Ukraine and theft of Crimea.
            It costs a lot of money to fight wars and Russia doesn’t have it.

            October 1, 2015 at 10:14 pm
          • hazel

            Russia is asking for other nations to join in their fight against ISIS. But their sole intent is to prop up Assad and keep their influence in the region with Iran. I doubt if they will find any takers. And securing that Afghan border may not be as easy as they think. I wonder how long before the terrorism spills into India and China? Especially the Russian Chinese border.

            October 2, 2015 at 1:53 pm
    • Mykola Kuzmenko

      “short term involvment” my ass

      September 30, 2015 at 9:06 pm
  • hazel

    This will sit better with the Russkies back home than involvement in Syria and may save his oligarchy.

    September 30, 2015 at 8:04 pm
  • Nobody

    The Ruskies are there also, to pick up the crumbs…love it….let them tangle again with the Taliban in Afghanistan as IS in Syria and Iraq!! Knock yourselves out!!

    September 30, 2015 at 9:37 pm
  • Steve

    O’bummer from Honolulu has failed at creating a strong and effective security force prior to extracting U.S. forces. We have no more cards to play in this game, let the Russians do what’s needed to establish security within their theatre.

    October 1, 2015 at 1:22 am
    • sraysr

      Russia doesn’t have the military power to do more than wait to be attacked in the Mid East.

      October 1, 2015 at 10:04 pm
  • Sally

    US miserably failed in Iraq and Afghanistan even after spending billions of dollars. Pentagon and CIA spend dollars because these are not their own. US is indebted by 16 trillion and most of these are from outside US. Instead of establishing peace it created chaos and terrorism. It happened because Pentagon, CIA, US Senate and People of USA are not on the same page. American people should be sure that chaos in Afghanistan and in this region will also have effect on American people interest around the world. There it is imperative that US should engage the right people in the region and work honestly for the peace in Afghanistan.

    October 1, 2015 at 2:00 am
    • sraysr

      The USA ran the Taliban out of power and got Osama bin Laden. That was the goal in Afghanistan and it was achieved you dimwit. Russia took a hard butt kicking in Afghanistan. :o)

      October 1, 2015 at 10:00 pm
  • DerpDerpDerp

    So I assume the US traitor politicians will be lobbying to arm the Taliban again.

    Not sure how those US politicians stand up one day and tell you they need to steal some of your rights to fight terrorism, then the next day they tell you they have to arm some terrorists, and on the third day they don’t get lynched.

    Very odd. Must be something in the water.

    October 1, 2015 at 4:05 am
  • Tatiana Manchmal

    Link to the Kommersant article?

    October 2, 2015 at 5:54 am


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